I would need considerably more than one study. That said, I think it is really good news this is getting published in a real journal. Parapsychologists have been publishing interesting results for years at strong enough levels that the publication bias would have to be really high to explain it. On the recommendation of someone here I read Outside the Gates over the summer which makes a moderately convincing case something weird is going on. I don’t assign nearly the same credence to the results that the author does but it did convince me that mainstream science should be looking at it. At worst this will help force psychology to confront publication bias and some of the statistical issues that plague the field generally. And at least we should see some non-parapsychologists attempting to replicate this.
I’ve been meaning to write a book review.
Part of the issue is that when we do see events that look like psy they aren’t ever at the p-values that would be conclusive. If there is something like psy it isn’t that strong so you need replication.
It would also be good to get the studies out of the hands of the New Age crazies and into the hands of some reductionists who could go to work theorizing. Though of course the most likely explanation remains publication bias/fraud/methodological issues.
I’ll look over the study later tonight. Thanks for posting it.
It seems like psi has been consistently understudied given the possibly profound consequences of understanding not-completely mundane psi. For one thing, I would expect it’s a lot easier to build an FAI in a psi-enabled universe versus a no-psi universe.
I would need considerably more than one study. That said, I think it is really good news this is getting published in a real journal. Parapsychologists have been publishing interesting results for years at strong enough levels that the publication bias would have to be really high to explain it. On the recommendation of someone here I read Outside the Gates over the summer which makes a moderately convincing case something weird is going on. I don’t assign nearly the same credence to the results that the author does but it did convince me that mainstream science should be looking at it. At worst this will help force psychology to confront publication bias and some of the statistical issues that plague the field generally. And at least we should see some non-parapsychologists attempting to replicate this.
I’ve been meaning to write a book review.
Part of the issue is that when we do see events that look like psy they aren’t ever at the p-values that would be conclusive. If there is something like psy it isn’t that strong so you need replication.
It would also be good to get the studies out of the hands of the New Age crazies and into the hands of some reductionists who could go to work theorizing. Though of course the most likely explanation remains publication bias/fraud/methodological issues.
I’ll look over the study later tonight. Thanks for posting it.
It seems like psi has been consistently understudied given the possibly profound consequences of understanding not-completely mundane psi. For one thing, I would expect it’s a lot easier to build an FAI in a psi-enabled universe versus a no-psi universe.
What’s your line of thought?