Please note that Eliezer’s view is not at all the consensus view; there are comparably many alignment researchers who believe that we are likely to succeed, and that current approaches are directly on the path to alignment. While WBE is an interesting possibility to keep in mind, it is not correct to strategize as if we are >90% doomed and need to take a “Hail Mary” regardless of the risks.
Please note that Eliezer’s view is not at all the consensus view; there are comparably many alignment researchers who believe that we are likely to succeed, and that current approaches are directly on the path to alignment. While WBE is an interesting possibility to keep in mind, it is not correct to strategize as if we are >90% doomed and need to take a “Hail Mary” regardless of the risks.