If only they hadn’t used such low probabilities—I could almost have believed them.
Even with reasonable probabilities, it was pretty clear that Hayes was completely missing the point on a few questions; and if the other two had answered with the length and clarity he did, their point-missing might have been similarly clear.
Sure, but if it was easier for me to not notice them missing the point I might have been able to update more towards no UFAI.
If only they hadn’t used such low probabilities—I could almost have believed them.
Even with reasonable probabilities, it was pretty clear that Hayes was completely missing the point on a few questions; and if the other two had answered with the length and clarity he did, their point-missing might have been similarly clear.
Sure, but if it was easier for me to not notice them missing the point I might have been able to update more towards no UFAI.