J. Scott Armstrong (faculty page, Wikipedia) is one of the big names in forecasting. In 2007, Armstrong and Kesten C. Green co-authored a global warming audit (PDF of paper, webpage with supporting materials) for the Forecasting Principles website. that was critical of the forecasting exercises by climate scientists used in the IPCC reports.
Given that they made a new IPCC report since 2007 it would be interesting how much the IPCC improved in that regard.
Given that they made a new IPCC report since 2007 it would be interesting how much the IPCC improved in that regard.