I can see at least one second valley instance in my own experience—someone born religious initially thinks a creator probably exists, then learns evidence against, and assigns fairly high probability of no creator. later on, he becomes more rational and considers simulation arguments, and needs to re-adjust up his estimate. (Bostrom I think was at ~1/​3 probability that we are simulated, based on his Simulation Argument paper). Am I interpreting second valley the same way you are, Wei?
I can see at least one second valley instance in my own experience—someone born religious initially thinks a creator probably exists, then learns evidence against, and assigns fairly high probability of no creator. later on, he becomes more rational and considers simulation arguments, and needs to re-adjust up his estimate. (Bostrom I think was at ~1/​3 probability that we are simulated, based on his Simulation Argument paper). Am I interpreting second valley the same way you are, Wei?