Fair enough. What kinds of changes would you suggest for the list? My goal is to find at least one person on LW to make a bet with me, so I welcome feedback
The financial terms aren’t good enough to entice me. Besides that…
Pretty much all of your weird explanations are too vague. In particular “[s]ome other explanation that’s of this level of ‘very weird’” is voids the whole thing. It’d be fine for a blog post, but not as a prediction resolution criteria.
“I reserve the right to appeal to the LW community. [I will not abuse this right]” is too vague too. The LW community is not a monolithic entity. I think you need to specify exactly how you plan to appeal to the LW community.
Fair enough. What kinds of changes would you suggest for the list? My goal is to find at least one person on LW to make a bet with me, so I welcome feedback
The financial terms aren’t good enough to entice me. Besides that…
Pretty much all of your weird explanations are too vague. In particular “[s]ome other explanation that’s of this level of ‘very weird’” is voids the whole thing. It’d be fine for a blog post, but not as a prediction resolution criteria.
“I reserve the right to appeal to the LW community. [I will not abuse this right]” is too vague too. The LW community is not a monolithic entity. I think you need to specify exactly how you plan to appeal to the LW community.