Nice. Another possible market topic: the mix of Low/Medium/High/Critical on their Scorecard, when they launch it or on 1 Jan 2025 or something. Hard to operationalize because we don’t know how many categories there will be, and we care about both pre-mitigation and post-mitigation scores.
Oops, somehow didn’t see there was actually a market baked into your question
I’d also be interested in “Will there be a publicly revealed instance of a pause in either deployment or development, as a result of a model scoring High or Critical on a scorecard, by Date X?”
Nice. Another possible market topic: the mix of Low/Medium/High/Critical on their Scorecard, when they launch it or on 1 Jan 2025 or something. Hard to operationalize because we don’t know how many categories there will be, and we care about both pre-mitigation and post-mitigation scores.
Made a simple market:
Oops, somehow didn’t see there was actually a market baked into your question
I’d also be interested in “Will there be a publicly revealed instance of a pause in either deployment or development, as a result of a model scoring High or Critical on a scorecard, by Date X?”(I edited my comment to add the market, sorry for confusion.)
(Separately, a market like you describe might still be worth making.)