Responses to your questions, in forms like “I attribute most of my belief to the theory” or “70% data, 30% theory”, will be basically useless. There are too many variables for the reader to fill in. Using the AGW example: what alternative data set are we considering? One in which (A) average surface temperatures stayed flat despite the increase in CO2? Or one in which (B) temperatures rise over several decades, but within a range only slightly larger than the largest several-decade change in a few pre-industrial centuries?
If I’m pondering scenario A I’ll say that my belief is mostly data-based. After all, in that scenario I’d figure the theory doesn’t apply, in that (e.g.) there’s some negative feedback I’d overlooked. The data of A would sway me. On the other hand, the data of B wouldn’t, even if the effect size were smaller than expected. Thinking about scenario B, I’d say my view is mostly theory-based. So my response depends entirely on how I fill in the details of your question. I think similar points apply to the minimum wage question as well.
Responses to your questions, in forms like “I attribute most of my belief to the theory” or “70% data, 30% theory”, will be basically useless. There are too many variables for the reader to fill in. Using the AGW example: what alternative data set are we considering? One in which (A) average surface temperatures stayed flat despite the increase in CO2? Or one in which (B) temperatures rise over several decades, but within a range only slightly larger than the largest several-decade change in a few pre-industrial centuries?
If I’m pondering scenario A I’ll say that my belief is mostly data-based. After all, in that scenario I’d figure the theory doesn’t apply, in that (e.g.) there’s some negative feedback I’d overlooked. The data of A would sway me. On the other hand, the data of B wouldn’t, even if the effect size were smaller than expected. Thinking about scenario B, I’d say my view is mostly theory-based. So my response depends entirely on how I fill in the details of your question. I think similar points apply to the minimum wage question as well.