Is Anti-Agathics a strict superset of Cryonics? That is to say, would someone becoming cryonically frozen and then restored, and then living for 1000 years from that date, count as a success for the anti-agathics question?
I thought of this last year after I completed the survey, and rated anti-agathics less probable than cryonics. This year I decided cryonics counted, and rated anti-agathics 5% higher than cryonics. But it would be nice for the question to be clearer.
Definitely had a thought on this order; I went with “don’t die at any point and still reach age 1000”, though I also don’t really consider solutions that involve abandoning bodies counting.
Well, the description provided in the survey doesn’t preclude it, as long as that person is not currently cryonically frozen (the question says living at this moment). My guess is that the intent was to discover the likelihood we assign to anti-agathic drugs being developed during the next 1000 years, in which case they probably should have used a more precise description.
I interpreted the two as completely disjunct. In other words anti-agathics would be drugs or treatments that prevent or repair the symptoms of aging. Some of the same tech (cell repair nanites) could potentially do both jobs, but if you have to be frozen to use the tech then I wouldn’t call it anti-agathics. I guess I’m basing this usage on Blish’s “They Shall Have Stars” which predicted it in the fifties.
Whether or not you believe cryonics is plausible, counting cryonics-time-capsule as a means of anti-agathics would bound your anti-agathics probability from below. And the question was unclear.
I didn’t mean to say that not signing up for cryonics (or not thinking it plausible, which is different) tells me how to interpret the question. But it’s still indicative of an attitude towards cryonics that might make one more likely to interpret it as I did.
Is Anti-Agathics a strict superset of Cryonics? That is to say, would someone becoming cryonically frozen and then restored, and then living for 1000 years from that date, count as a success for the anti-agathics question?
I thought of this last year after I completed the survey, and rated anti-agathics less probable than cryonics. This year I decided cryonics counted, and rated anti-agathics 5% higher than cryonics. But it would be nice for the question to be clearer.
Definitely had a thought on this order; I went with “don’t die at any point and still reach age 1000”, though I also don’t really consider solutions that involve abandoning bodies counting.
I haven’t put too much thought into the plausibility of effective anti-agathics anyway, so I just left that one blank and moved on.
I wondered that, but I took the answer to be no.
Well, the description provided in the survey doesn’t preclude it, as long as that person is not currently cryonically frozen (the question says living at this moment). My guess is that the intent was to discover the likelihood we assign to anti-agathic drugs being developed during the next 1000 years, in which case they probably should have used a more precise description.
I interpreted the two as completely disjunct. In other words anti-agathics would be drugs or treatments that prevent or repair the symptoms of aging. Some of the same tech (cell repair nanites) could potentially do both jobs, but if you have to be frozen to use the tech then I wouldn’t call it anti-agathics. I guess I’m basing this usage on Blish’s “They Shall Have Stars” which predicted it in the fifties.
I didn’t interpret it that way, but then again, I’m not signed up for cryonics.
Whether or not you believe cryonics is plausible, counting cryonics-time-capsule as a means of anti-agathics would bound your anti-agathics probability from below. And the question was unclear.
I didn’t mean to say that not signing up for cryonics (or not thinking it plausible, which is different) tells me how to interpret the question. But it’s still indicative of an attitude towards cryonics that might make one more likely to interpret it as I did.