Most arguments I see in favor of AGI ignore economic constraints. I strongly suspect that we can’t actually afford to create AGI yet; world GDP isn’t high enough. They seem to be focused on inside-view arguments for why method X will make it happen, which sure, maybe, but even if we achieve AGI, if we aren’t rich enough to run it or use it for anything it hardly matters.
So the question in my mind is, if you think AGI is soon, how are we getting the level of economic growth needed in the next 2-5 years to afford to use AGI at all before AGI is created?
Most arguments I see in favor of AGI ignore economic constraints. I strongly suspect that we can’t actually afford to create AGI yet; world GDP isn’t high enough. They seem to be focused on inside-view arguments for why method X will make it happen, which sure, maybe, but even if we achieve AGI, if we aren’t rich enough to run it or use it for anything it hardly matters.
So the question in my mind is, if you think AGI is soon, how are we getting the level of economic growth needed in the next 2-5 years to afford to use AGI at all before AGI is created?