This is all only relevant to downstream daemons, right? If so, I don’t understand why the DD would ever provide 98% accuracy; I’d expect it to provide 99% accuracy until it sees a chance to provide [arbitarily low]% accuracy and start pursuing its agenda directly. As you say, this might happen due to competition between daemon-containing systems, but I think a DD would want to maximize its chances of survival by maximizng its accuracy either way.
I think it’s relevant for either kind (actually, I’m not sure I like the distinction, or find it particularly relevant).
If there aren’t other daemons to compete with, then 98% is sufficient for survival, so why not use the extra 1% to begin pursuing your own agenda immediately and covertly? This seems to be how principle-agent problems often play out in real life with humans.
This is all only relevant to downstream daemons, right? If so, I don’t understand why the DD would ever provide 98% accuracy; I’d expect it to provide 99% accuracy until it sees a chance to provide [arbitarily low]% accuracy and start pursuing its agenda directly. As you say, this might happen due to competition between daemon-containing systems, but I think a DD would want to maximize its chances of survival by maximizng its accuracy either way.
I think it’s relevant for either kind (actually, I’m not sure I like the distinction, or find it particularly relevant).
If there aren’t other daemons to compete with, then 98% is sufficient for survival, so why not use the extra 1% to begin pursuing your own agenda immediately and covertly? This seems to be how principle-agent problems often play out in real life with humans.