If aliens are here, they are definitely screwing with us by remaining covert. I don’t know how that figures into the odds given the evidence. It would require incompetent aliens, or else aliens so competent that they could judge how much crappy contact data would make the whole thing seem so unlikely that it gets ignored by most rational people.
Like me.
If they’re here but not willing to make contact, they’re useless to me as far as I can tell, and I’ll go on doing the same things whether or not they exist.
One piece of the logic that I do find interesting is the interaction with AGI x-risk. If aliens were here, they probably wouldn’t want us creating a light-cone swallowing misaligned AGI.
If aliens are here, they are definitely screwing with us by remaining covert. I don’t know how that figures into the odds given the evidence. It would require incompetent aliens, or else aliens so competent that they could judge how much crappy contact data would make the whole thing seem so unlikely that it gets ignored by most rational people.
Like me.
If they’re here but not willing to make contact, they’re useless to me as far as I can tell, and I’ll go on doing the same things whether or not they exist.
One piece of the logic that I do find interesting is the interaction with AGI x-risk. If aliens were here, they probably wouldn’t want us creating a light-cone swallowing misaligned AGI.