Is this based on some movement or proposal? What’s the scope (geographically), and specificity (we’ll “strike” until … what)?
I’m pretty distant from education, but my mental model is that it’s not an effective strike unless there are clear demands, and a reasonable tie from the people inconvenienced/hurt and the decision-makers on those topics. Public school students “striking” over climate issues don’t meet either of these criteria.
I think we can safely assume that those who are competing for respected universities aren’t likely to participate for any length of time, so it’ll be mostly the mediocre to bad students who “strike” (with a few prestigious/photogenic exceptions, if they think it makes them look good). Which leads me to gladly take the under on most of your predictions, if we can work out terms. And the most important prediction (which you don’t give, but should): less than 0.02 that this will actually happen, for any significant length of time, with any significant participation (say, a threshold of more than 15 days of school missed by more than 30% of students in any large jurisdiction).
And the most important prediction (which you don’t give, but should): less than 0.02 that this will actually happen
That’s an interesting question for sure, I haven’t thought much about it. However, I would argue ‘could something like this be incentivised’, and ‘would strikers have leverage to actually achieve anything’ are separate questions. I’m personally more interested in question two.
Seems like something to consider pretty strongly. Why did you pick youth school disattendance as your subject in the first place? Why not youth housework strike, or daily congregation to disrupt traffic or commerce? Or an adult strike of some sort? Or a mixed-age strategy?
When I read this, I assumed the specificity had some reason behind it. That would be the first part of the question to explain and predict.
Why did you pick youth school disattendance as your subject in the first place?
Because this is already being done, just on a much smaller scale. ‘Fridays for Future’ has that name because some students decided to start taking Fridays off and protest instead.
Is this based on some movement or proposal? What’s the scope (geographically), and specificity (we’ll “strike” until … what)?
I’m pretty distant from education, but my mental model is that it’s not an effective strike unless there are clear demands, and a reasonable tie from the people inconvenienced/hurt and the decision-makers on those topics. Public school students “striking” over climate issues don’t meet either of these criteria.
I think we can safely assume that those who are competing for respected universities aren’t likely to participate for any length of time, so it’ll be mostly the mediocre to bad students who “strike” (with a few prestigious/photogenic exceptions, if they think it makes them look good). Which leads me to gladly take the under on most of your predictions, if we can work out terms. And the most important prediction (which you don’t give, but should): less than 0.02 that this will actually happen, for any significant length of time, with any significant participation (say, a threshold of more than 15 days of school missed by more than 30% of students in any large jurisdiction).
That’s an interesting question for sure, I haven’t thought much about it. However, I would argue ‘could something like this be incentivised’, and ‘would strikers have leverage to actually achieve anything’ are separate questions. I’m personally more interested in question two.
Seems like something to consider pretty strongly. Why did you pick youth school disattendance as your subject in the first place? Why not youth housework strike, or daily congregation to disrupt traffic or commerce? Or an adult strike of some sort? Or a mixed-age strategy?
When I read this, I assumed the specificity had some reason behind it. That would be the first part of the question to explain and predict.
Because this is already being done, just on a much smaller scale. ‘Fridays for Future’ has that name because some students decided to start taking Fridays off and protest instead.