Having some shady deals in the past isn’t evidence that there are currently shady deals on the scale that we are talking about going on between government committees and AI companies.
If there is no evidence for that happening in our particular case (on the necessary scale), then I don’t see why I can’t make a similar claim about other auditors who similarly had less than ideal history.
I’m having a hard time following this argument. To be clear, I’m saying that while certain people were in regulatory bodies in the US & UK govts, they actively had secret legal contracts to not criticize the leading industry player, else (prseumably) they could be sued for damages. This is not a past shady deals, this is about current people during their current tenure having been corrupted.
I haven’t heard of any such corrupt deals with OpenAI or Anthropic concerning governmental oversight over AI technology on the scale that would make me worried. Do you have any links to articles about government employees (who are responsible for oversight) recently signing secret contracts with OpenAI or Anthropic that would prohibit them from giving real feedback on a big enough scale to make it concerning?
Unfortunately a fair chunk of my information comes from non-online sources, so I do not have links to share.
I do think that in order for government department to blatantly approve an unsafe model, it would take a lot of people to have secret agreements with.
Corruption is rarely blatant or overt. See this thread for what I believe to be an example for the CEO of RAND misleading a senate committee about his beliefs about the existential threat posed by AI. See this discussion about a time when an AI company attempted (Conjecture) to get critical comments about another AI company (OpenAI) taken down from LessWrong. I am not proposing a large conspiracy, I am describing lots of small bits of corruption and failures of integrity summing to a system failure.
There will be millions of words of regulatory documents, and it is easy for things to slip such that some particular model class is not considered worth evaluating, or where the consequences of a failed evaluation is pretty weak.
Looking at the 2 examples that you gave me, I can see a few issues. I wouldn’t really say that saying “I don’t know” once is necessarily a lie. If anything, I could find such an answer somewhat more honest in some contexts. Other than that, there is also the issue of both of the examples being of a much different scope and scale. Saying IDK to the committee and trying to take down someone’s comment on the forum on the internet and definitely not on the same scale as the elaborate scheme of tricking or bribing/silencing multiple government employees who have access to your model. But even with all that aside, these 2 examples are only tangential to the topic of governmental oversight over OpenAI or Anthropic and don’t necessarily provide direct evidence.
I can believe that you genuinely have information from private sources, but without any way of me verifying them, I am fine to leave this one at that.
Having some shady deals in the past isn’t evidence that there are currently shady deals on the scale that we are talking about going on between government committees and AI companies.
If there is no evidence for that happening in our particular case (on the necessary scale), then I don’t see why I can’t make a similar claim about other auditors who similarly had less than ideal history.
I’m having a hard time following this argument. To be clear, I’m saying that while certain people were in regulatory bodies in the US & UK govts, they actively had secret legal contracts to not criticize the leading industry player, else (prseumably) they could be sued for damages. This is not a past shady deals, this is about current people during their current tenure having been corrupted.
I haven’t heard of any such corrupt deals with OpenAI or Anthropic concerning governmental oversight over AI technology on the scale that would make me worried. Do you have any links to articles about government employees (who are responsible for oversight) recently signing secret contracts with OpenAI or Anthropic that would prohibit them from giving real feedback on a big enough scale to make it concerning?
Unfortunately a fair chunk of my information comes from non-online sources, so I do not have links to share.
Corruption is rarely blatant or overt. See this thread for what I believe to be an example for the CEO of RAND misleading a senate committee about his beliefs about the existential threat posed by AI. See this discussion about a time when an AI company attempted (Conjecture) to get critical comments about another AI company (OpenAI) taken down from LessWrong. I am not proposing a large conspiracy, I am describing lots of small bits of corruption and failures of integrity summing to a system failure.
There will be millions of words of regulatory documents, and it is easy for things to slip such that some particular model class is not considered worth evaluating, or where the consequences of a failed evaluation is pretty weak.
Looking at the 2 examples that you gave me, I can see a few issues. I wouldn’t really say that saying “I don’t know” once is necessarily a lie. If anything, I could find such an answer somewhat more honest in some contexts. Other than that, there is also the issue of both of the examples being of a much different scope and scale. Saying IDK to the committee and trying to take down someone’s comment on the forum on the internet and definitely not on the same scale as the elaborate scheme of tricking or bribing/silencing multiple government employees who have access to your model. But even with all that aside, these 2 examples are only tangential to the topic of governmental oversight over OpenAI or Anthropic and don’t necessarily provide direct evidence.
I can believe that you genuinely have information from private sources, but without any way of me verifying them, I am fine to leave this one at that.