“AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years”
Question: are you talking about expectation under the risk-neutral measure or the physical measure? Your parts about how EA’s could exploit arbitrage should be based on the risk-neutral measure, right? (I’m not super familiar with financial theory.)
“AGI and the EMH: markets are not expecting aligned or unaligned AI in the next 30 years”
Question: are you talking about expectation under the risk-neutral measure or the physical measure? Your parts about how EA’s could exploit arbitrage should be based on the risk-neutral measure, right? (I’m not super familiar with financial theory.)