As a quick sidenote on this (though I really wish someone would finally write the “this is how the replication crisis affected all the rationality stuff from the early 2010s” sequence), most of the stuff in the sequences wasn’t that badly hit by the replication crisis. In particular Kahneman’s work generally survived the replication crisis much better than the average work in social psychology, though it still took some hits.
I have lots of thoughts on the details here that I sadly don’t have time to write up. Overall my sense is that there are definitely quite a few posts on the sequences that are now highly epistemically dubious, but that most of them actually replicated quite well, and that the worst offenders have been removed from the recent editions of R:A-Z (like the post referencing Robber’s Cave, which sure turned out to be primarily just scientific malpractice).
One obstacle to discovering how the sequences were affected is that some of the dependencies on psychology/sociology/etc might not be explicitly called out, or might not even have been explicit in Eliezer’s own mind as he wrote. But I would just say that means we’ll have to work harder at sussing out the truth.
As a quick sidenote on this (though I really wish someone would finally write the “this is how the replication crisis affected all the rationality stuff from the early 2010s” sequence), most of the stuff in the sequences wasn’t that badly hit by the replication crisis. In particular Kahneman’s work generally survived the replication crisis much better than the average work in social psychology, though it still took some hits.
I have lots of thoughts on the details here that I sadly don’t have time to write up. Overall my sense is that there are definitely quite a few posts on the sequences that are now highly epistemically dubious, but that most of them actually replicated quite well, and that the worst offenders have been removed from the recent editions of R:A-Z (like the post referencing Robber’s Cave, which sure turned out to be primarily just scientific malpractice).
One obstacle to discovering how the sequences were affected is that some of the dependencies on psychology/sociology/etc might not be explicitly called out, or might not even have been explicit in Eliezer’s own mind as he wrote. But I would just say that means we’ll have to work harder at sussing out the truth.
I too would like to see that sequence. As a start, is there a list of posts have been removed from R:A-Z?