Unfortunately they’re still going by cases, which is a bad indicator ever since the administration slashed testing centers starting in mid-january and largely replacing it with at-home tests which aren’t reported publicly and also have a ludicrously high false negative rate. Right now, a better indicator is positive tests which currently are a little short of 50% of the january peak, but it’s not clear what kinds of people are going to testing centers nowadays, especially since nobody had the option of abundant free at-home tests during the January outbreak.
Today, nyt posts a graph that isn’t total garbage, which they’re liable to do every once in a while due to their business model:
Unfortunately they’re still going by cases, which is a bad indicator ever since the administration slashed testing centers starting in mid-january and largely replacing it with at-home tests which aren’t reported publicly and also have a ludicrously high false negative rate. Right now, a better indicator is positive tests which currently are a little short of 50% of the january peak, but it’s not clear what kinds of people are going to testing centers nowadays, especially since nobody had the option of abundant free at-home tests during the January outbreak.