“Population genetic differentiation of height and body mass index across Europe”, Robinson et al 2015 (to quote Yvain: “Genetic differences explain 24% of between-national-populations differences in height and 8% of between-national-populations in BMI across Europe. Now that the only two massively polygenic traits that might vary among national populations have been successfully studied, I look forward to never having to read any further research of this sort ever again.”; excerpts)
“The Evolutionary Genetics of Personality”, Penke et al 2007 (holds up well after the GWASes for IQ & OCEAN; although prediction that OCEAN hits will be more plentiful than IQ seems to have fallen victim to personality being somewhat more polygenic than expected & non-additive)
“The Bayesian Reproducibility Project” (interpreting the psychology reproducibility projects’ results not by uninterpretable p-values but by a direct Bayesian examination of whether the replications support or contradict the originals)
“The Most Dangerous Equation” (sample size and standard error; examples: coinage, disease rates, small schools, male test scores.)
Galton’s problem (Another name for pseudoreplication/autocorrelation/hierarchical-structure/non-independence. Definitely a concern in cross-racial genetics when you’re using population-level averages.)
the Vallejo kidnappings (This is so cyberpunk a true-crime story even Gibson wouldn’t dare write a novel about it. I was baffled when I originally read it, and I’m still baffled now.)
Maybe next year; they haven’t been published yet. Asking for 74 would also be a heck of a hassle for survey takers… But Yvain could also just ask for the current known SNPs, which aren’t so numerous as to be unreasonable to look up.
The absurd overelaborateness and complexity of the whole thing. It reads like a movie plot in the vein of Hackers or something, and if there was one thing I’ve learned documenting the hundreds of arrests connected to the DNMs, it’s that movie plots are fiction.
“Cavemen Were Better at Depicting Quadruped Walking than Modern Artists: Erroneous Walking Illustrations in the Fine Arts from Prehistory to Today”
Similarly I would expect a modern artist in an industrialized society to draw a wheeled vehicle or a kitchen implement better, and a person from the pleistocene to draw plants from their environment or tools they use more accurately.
Short Online Texts Thread
Everything is heritable:
“74 SNP hits on cognitive ability from 300k individuals”
″...intelligence GWAS hits: Their relationship to country IQ...”, Piffer 2015
“Population genetic differentiation of height and body mass index across Europe”, Robinson et al 2015 (to quote Yvain: “Genetic differences explain 24% of between-national-populations differences in height and 8% of between-national-populations in BMI across Europe. Now that the only two massively polygenic traits that might vary among national populations have been successfully studied, I look forward to never having to read any further research of this sort ever again.”; excerpts)
“The Evolutionary Genetics of Personality”, Penke et al 2007 (holds up well after the GWASes for IQ & OCEAN; although prediction that OCEAN hits will be more plentiful than IQ seems to have fallen victim to personality being somewhat more polygenic than expected & non-additive)
“Eugenics, Ready or Not”, Salter
Politics/religion:
“est, Werner Erhard, and the corporatization of self-help”
“The End of History?”
Queue hairstyle
“Malcolm X’s Purge, Second Thoughts, and Murder (Chapters 16-19, plus Haley’s Epilogue)”
Statistics/AI/meta-science:
“The Bayesian Reproducibility Project” (interpreting the psychology reproducibility projects’ results not by uninterpretable p-values but by a direct Bayesian examination of whether the replications support or contradict the originals)
“The Most Dangerous Equation” (sample size and standard error; examples: coinage, disease rates, small schools, male test scores.)
“Correlation, Causation, and Confusion”
Galton’s problem (Another name for pseudoreplication/autocorrelation/hierarchical-structure/non-independence. Definitely a concern in cross-racial genetics when you’re using population-level averages.)
“The perilous plight of the (non)-replicator”
“School Desegregation and Black Achievement: an integrative review”, Wortman & Bryant 1985 (more on publication bias)
“Empirical evidence of bias in treatment effect estimates in controlled trials with different interventions and outcomes: meta-epidemiological study”, Wood et al 2008
“aRrgh: a newcomer’s (angry) guide to R” (I read this when starting out with R; in retrospect, it turned out to be more useful than I thought at the time)
“Guessing the Truth: How good are we at guessing the truth of open conjectures?”
“The Mayan Doomsday’s effect on survival outcomes in clinical trials”, Wheatley-Price et al 11 Dec 2012
Psychology/biology:
“A 2-Year Randomized Controlled Trial of Human Caloric Restriction: Feasibility and Effects on Predictors of Health Span and Longevity” (the CALERIE study), Ravussin et al 2015 (excerpts)
“The Zombie Preacher of Somerset”
“Operation Delirium: Decades after a risky Cold War experiment, a scientist lives with secrets”
Rind et al. controversy
Technology:
“1 to 10 billion earth-like planets in the Milky Way Galaxy”
the Vallejo kidnappings (This is so cyberpunk a true-crime story even Gibson wouldn’t dare write a novel about it. I was baffled when I originally read it, and I’m still baffled now.)
“The Web We Lost”
Physics Special Topics
“Predicting and controlling NetHack’s randomness”
“The hum that helps to fight crime”
“Norvig’s Law”
Economics:
“Crockford’s Club: How a Fishmonger Built a Gambling Hall and Bankrupted the British Aristocracy”
“There are four ways to get fired from Caesars: (1) theft, (2) sexual harassment, (3) running an experiment without a control group, and (4) keeping a gambling addict away from the casino”
“Housewife, “Gold Miss,” and Equal: The Evolution of Educated Women’s Role in Asia and the U.S.”, Hwang 2013
“Money, Dear Boy”
Fiction:
“Biases of Fiction”
“Cavemen Were Better at Depicting Quadruped Walking than Modern Artists: Erroneous Walking Illustrations in the Fine Arts from Prehistory to Today”, Horvath et al 2012
It would be interesting to ask for them in a LW census.
Maybe next year; they haven’t been published yet. Asking for 74 would also be a heck of a hassle for survey takers… But Yvain could also just ask for the current known SNPs, which aren’t so numerous as to be unreasonable to look up.
What do you find baffling about the Vallejo kidnapping?
The absurd overelaborateness and complexity of the whole thing. It reads like a movie plot in the vein of Hackers or something, and if there was one thing I’ve learned documenting the hundreds of arrests connected to the DNMs, it’s that movie plots are fiction.
The arrested man reportedly has bipolar disorder. Mania is a hell of a drug.
Similarly I would expect a modern artist in an industrialized society to draw a wheeled vehicle or a kitchen implement better, and a person from the pleistocene to draw plants from their environment or tools they use more accurately.
The Wikipedia article on Dukka