I think it’s an all-of-time metric over a variable with expected decay baked into the dynamics. a windowing function on the probability might make sense to discuss; there are some solid P(doom) queries on manifold markets, for example.
I think it’s an all-of-time metric over a variable with expected decay baked into the dynamics. a windowing function on the probability might make sense to discuss; there are some solid P(doom) queries on manifold markets, for example.