Because the outside view frequently gives better predictions than the inside view. For example as Manfred recently noted in a different thread, Mike Darwin’s predictions were
Yes, but does this explain the pride? Also, the planning fallacy is more about optimism than knowledge per se.
Although, I think this has connections with “seeing the Big Picture” (the Big Geographer, as Thomas said). “You may know some unimportant details, but I have a better view of the Big Picture, so I’m superior to you.”
Because the outside view frequently gives better predictions than the inside view. For example as Manfred recently noted in a different thread, Mike Darwin’s predictions were
Yes, but does this explain the pride? Also, the planning fallacy is more about optimism than knowledge per se.
Although, I think this has connections with “seeing the Big Picture” (the Big Geographer, as Thomas said). “You may know some unimportant details, but I have a better view of the Big Picture, so I’m superior to you.”