I did read Nassim Taleb description of the situation in “Fooled By Randomness” and “The Black Swan”, so I’m not sure whether you think I misrepresented Taleb or whether you think Talebs arguments are simply wrong.
“No clue” is not a good representation of my knowledge because I did read Taleb as introduction for the topic. That doesn’t make me an expert, but it does give me a opinion on the topic that might be true or false.
That is painfully visible.
I don’t think contributing noise to LW is useful.
Then please point me to the errors in the argument I made.
The point of having discussions is to refine ideas. I do not believe that potential of being wrong is a reason to avoid talking about something.
You didn’t make an argument. You posted a bunch of sentences which are, basically, nonsense.
The problem is not the potential of being wrong, the problem is coherency and having some basic knowledge in the area which you are talking about.
If you have no clue, ask for a gentle introduction, don’t spout nonsense on the forum.
I did read Nassim Taleb description of the situation in “Fooled By Randomness” and “The Black Swan”, so I’m not sure whether you think I misrepresented Taleb or whether you think Talebs arguments are simply wrong.
“No clue” is not a good representation of my knowledge because I did read Taleb as introduction for the topic. That doesn’t make me an expert, but it does give me a opinion on the topic that might be true or false.