Up to this point in the post you haven’t mentioned any models. If you give a probability without first mentioning a model for it to be relative to, the implication is that you are endorsing the implicit model. But this is just nit-picking.
More importantly, there are many models used by people in the market. Plenty of people use far more sophisticated models. You can’t just say “the market models” without qualification or citation.
Up to this point in the post you haven’t mentioned any models. If you give a probability without first mentioning a model for it to be relative to, the implication is that you are endorsing the implicit model. But this is just nit-picking.
More importantly, there are many models used by people in the market. Plenty of people use far more sophisticated models. You can’t just say “the market models” without qualification or citation.