JosephY comments on What are the most common and important trade-offs that decision makers face?

[JosephY]

Constant, predictable gains vs. Black Swans

[ChristianKl]

A lot of gains that aren’t constant but are variable have still nothing to do with Black Swans.

[Andy_McKenzie]

I think this is Surely Some vs Maybe More—right? If so, helpful to recall the black swan meme and map it to this, thanks.