Yeah, it’s tough to come up with the right analogy for this. Perhaps there’s a better one? Nuclear weapons? Or maybe analogies are more of a distraction...
The key issue that comes to my mind is that if you have trouble thinking clearly about an event that happened a few years in the past, how do you think you will be able to think clearly about the future decades from now?
To me it seems that polarization between Republicans and Democrats was one of the key political features of 2016 and that’s something you could forsee with easy extrapolation of trends.
You can look at trends of AI development and who creates powerful AI and extrapolate them.
Yeah, it’s tough to come up with the right analogy for this. Perhaps there’s a better one? Nuclear weapons? Or maybe analogies are more of a distraction...
The key issue that comes to my mind is that if you have trouble thinking clearly about an event that happened a few years in the past, how do you think you will be able to think clearly about the future decades from now?
To me it seems that polarization between Republicans and Democrats was one of the key political features of 2016 and that’s something you could forsee with easy extrapolation of trends.
You can look at trends of AI development and who creates powerful AI and extrapolate them.