Among candidate stars for going nova I would think you could treat it as a random event. But Sol is not a candidate and so doesn’t even make it into the sample set. So it’s a very badly constructed setup. It’s like looking for a needle in 200 million haystacks but restricting yourself only to those haystacks you already know it cannot be in. Or do I have that wrong.
Since the sun going nova is not a random event, strict frequentists deny that there is a probability to associate with it.
Among candidate stars for going nova I would think you could treat it as a random event. But Sol is not a candidate and so doesn’t even make it into the sample set. So it’s a very badly constructed setup. It’s like looking for a needle in 200 million haystacks but restricting yourself only to those haystacks you already know it cannot be in. Or do I have that wrong.
I’m going to try the Socratic method...
Is a coin flip a random event?
taboo random event.
it’s deterministic, but you don’t know how it will come out.