Nitpick, the detector lies on double-six regardless of the outcome, so the likelihood ratio is 35:1, not 36:1.
Can you explain that more clearly? It seems that the sun exploding is so unlikely that the outcome doesn’t matter. Perhaps you are confusing odds and probability?
Nitpick, the detector lies on double-six regardless of the outcome, so the likelihood ratio is 35:1, not 36:1.
Can you explain that more clearly? It seems that the sun exploding is so unlikely that the outcome doesn’t matter. Perhaps you are confusing odds and probability?