Incidentally, I agree that . Ishparrish is making a pretty optimistic estimate for when cryonic patients will be revived. We don’t seem to be anywhere near having the technology in 10 years, although 50 years does seem more plausible.
I wasn’t referring to reanimation time. I was saying that cryonics will make more economic sense in 10 years if people buy it today, no more and no less. I’m not sure where Bugmaster got the idea I was talking about reanimations in that timeframe, I’d have to agree that’s rather ridiculous.
I’d say 50 years is plausible for reanimation of patients that are near-perfectly vitrified (i.e. they might be near-perfectly vitrifying patients by then, which means they can bring them back right away if they choose—though terminal patients would still have to wait for a cure), but that is certainly not my envisioned timeframe for patients that need extensive repairs such as today’s patients.
If the singularity occurs in the meantime all bets are off of course, but I currently regard that as fairly low probability; not enough to factor into my cryonics calculations, though sufficient to make me worry about the existential risks (where the burden of proof is a lot lower).
I wasn’t referring to reanimation time. I was saying that cryonics will make more economic sense in 10 years if people buy it today, no more and no less. I’m not sure where Bugmaster got the idea I was talking about reanimations in that timeframe, I’d have to agree that’s rather ridiculous.
I’d say 50 years is plausible for reanimation of patients that are near-perfectly vitrified (i.e. they might be near-perfectly vitrifying patients by then, which means they can bring them back right away if they choose—though terminal patients would still have to wait for a cure), but that is certainly not my envisioned timeframe for patients that need extensive repairs such as today’s patients.
If the singularity occurs in the meantime all bets are off of course, but I currently regard that as fairly low probability; not enough to factor into my cryonics calculations, though sufficient to make me worry about the existential risks (where the burden of proof is a lot lower).