The prior probability of a three-way conspiracy to commit rape and murder is way, way lower than the prior probability of it being a one man job.
I didn’t see any evidence that would move much probability mass away from the prior probabilities, but this could just be due to the slice of the evidence I saw given my 30 minutes or so of reviewing it.
The prior probability of a three-way conspiracy to commit rape and murder is way, way lower than the prior probability of it being a one man job.
I didn’t see any evidence that would move much probability mass away from the prior probabilities, but this could just be due to the slice of the evidence I saw given my 30 minutes or so of reviewing it.