Your probability estimate that Amanda Knox is guilty.
0.05
Your probability estimate that Raffaele Sollecito is guilty.
Your probability estimate that Rudy Guede is guilty.
0.9
How much you think your opinion will turn out to coincide with mine.
p(same direction) = 0.6
p(someone in the prosecution is guilty of actions I would give live imprisonment for) = 0.99.
Current theme: default
Less Wrong (text)
Less Wrong (link)
Arrow keys: Next/previous image
Escape or click: Hide zoomed image
Space bar: Reset image size & position
Scroll to zoom in/out
(When zoomed in, drag to pan; double-click to close)
Keys shown in yellow (e.g., ]) are accesskeys, and require a browser-specific modifier key (or keys).
]
Keys shown in grey (e.g., ?) do not require any modifier keys.
?
Esc
h
f
a
m
v
c
r
q
t
u
o
,
.
/
s
n
e
;
Enter
[
\
k
i
l
=
-
0
′
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
→
↓
←
↑
Space
x
z
`
g
0.05
0.05
Your probability estimate that Rudy Guede is guilty.
0.9
How much you think your opinion will turn out to coincide with mine.
p(same direction) = 0.6
p(someone in the prosecution is guilty of actions I would give live imprisonment for) = 0.99.