Alex Vermillion comments on Good Heart Week: Extending the Experiment

Alex Vermillion 11 Apr 2022 18:35 UTC
1 point
The probability that it’s just a joke is higher on April Fool’s.

$P (f a k e | A p r i l F o o l s) / P (r e a l | A p r i l F o o l s)$ is pretty large (note that “fake” means “not(real)”, which makes this a Bayes Ratio.