Do you think the AI-assisted humanity is in a worse situation than humanity is today?
Lots of people involved in thinking about AI seem to be in a zero sum, winner-take-all mode. E.g. Macron.
I think there will be significant founder effects from the strategies of the people that create AGI. The development of AGI will be used as an example of what types of strategies win in the future during technological development. Deliberation may tell people that there are better equilibrium. But empiricism may tell people that they are too hard to reach.
Currently the positive-sum norm of free exchange of scientific knowledge is being tested. For good reasons, perhaps? But I worry for the world if lack of sharing of knowledge gets cemented as the new norm. It will lead to more arms races and make coordination harder on the important problems. So if the creation of AI leads to the destruction of science as we know it, I think we might be in a worse position.
I, perhaps naively, don’t think it has to be that way.
Lots of people involved in thinking about AI seem to be in a zero sum, winner-take-all mode. E.g. Macron.
I think there will be significant founder effects from the strategies of the people that create AGI. The development of AGI will be used as an example of what types of strategies win in the future during technological development. Deliberation may tell people that there are better equilibrium. But empiricism may tell people that they are too hard to reach.
Currently the positive-sum norm of free exchange of scientific knowledge is being tested. For good reasons, perhaps? But I worry for the world if lack of sharing of knowledge gets cemented as the new norm. It will lead to more arms races and make coordination harder on the important problems. So if the creation of AI leads to the destruction of science as we know it, I think we might be in a worse position.
I, perhaps naively, don’t think it has to be that way.