In other words, we don’t cooperate in real world prisoners dilemma and this would undermine any our future hopes of usefulness of alternative decision theories.
I keep saying that I don’t know how to apply UDT to humans, especially to human cooperation. The “hope” for UDT was originally to solve anthropic reasoning and then later as a theoretical foundation for a safe AI decision procedure. Despite my repeated disclaimers, people seem really tempted to use it in real life, in very hand-wavy ways, which I feel obligated to disendorse.
I feel about partial correlation the way I used to feel about the categorical imperative in general; I don’t think our formalisations discuss it well at all. However. I know that the CDT way is wrong and I need a name for whatever the better way is supposed to be. What would you recommend. “Newcomblike reasoning”?
I keep saying that I don’t know how to apply UDT to humans, especially to human cooperation. The “hope” for UDT was originally to solve anthropic reasoning and then later as a theoretical foundation for a safe AI decision procedure. Despite my repeated disclaimers, people seem really tempted to use it in real life, in very hand-wavy ways, which I feel obligated to disendorse.
How would UDT solve anthropic reasoning? Any Links?
You might find Stuart Armstrong’s paper Anthropic decision theory for self-locating beliefs helpful.
Thanks for the reference
I feel about partial correlation the way I used to feel about the categorical imperative in general; I don’t think our formalisations discuss it well at all. However. I know that the CDT way is wrong and I need a name for whatever the better way is supposed to be. What would you recommend. “Newcomblike reasoning”?