I agree with avturchin, it’s an appropriate thought to be having. UDT-like reasoning is actually fairly common in populations that have not been tainted with CDT rationality (IE, normal people) (usually it is written off by cdt rationalists as moralising or collectivism). This line of thinking doesn’t require exact equivalence, the fact that there are many other people telling many other communities to prep is enough that all of those communities should consider the aggregate effects of that reasoning process. They are all capable of saying “what if everyone else did this as well? Wouldn’t it be bad? Should we really do it?”
They are all capable of saying “what if everyone else did this as well? Wouldn’t it be bad? Should we really do it?”
This doesn’t seem very similar to actual UDT reasoning though. It seems like a perfectly consistent outcome if “normal people” reason like this and conclude that they should refrain from hoarding food, and UDT agents do hoard food because they calculate a low logical correlation between themselves and “normal people”.
I agree with avturchin, it’s an appropriate thought to be having. UDT-like reasoning is actually fairly common in populations that have not been tainted with CDT rationality (IE, normal people) (usually it is written off by cdt rationalists as moralising or collectivism). This line of thinking doesn’t require exact equivalence, the fact that there are many other people telling many other communities to prep is enough that all of those communities should consider the aggregate effects of that reasoning process. They are all capable of saying “what if everyone else did this as well? Wouldn’t it be bad? Should we really do it?”
This doesn’t seem very similar to actual UDT reasoning though. It seems like a perfectly consistent outcome if “normal people” reason like this and conclude that they should refrain from hoarding food, and UDT agents do hoard food because they calculate a low logical correlation between themselves and “normal people”.
How do you calculate logical correlation? Do we know anything about how this would work under UDT? Does UDT not really discuss it, or is it bad at it?