Let’s see—a median Fermi estimate might involve multiplying 5 things together. If it takes 7 seconds to pull up my calculator app, and that lets me do a perfectly accurate operation every second instead of slightly-error-prone operation every two seconds, then using the calculator gives me a 100% accurate answer in 12sec instead of a five-times-slightly-inaccurate answer in 10sec.
I still feel skeptical for some reason, but that’s probably just status quo bias. This seems like a reasonable tradeoff. I’ll try it for a month and see how it goes!
Yeah, this is a fair point!
Let’s see—a median Fermi estimate might involve multiplying 5 things together. If it takes 7 seconds to pull up my calculator app, and that lets me do a perfectly accurate operation every second instead of slightly-error-prone operation every two seconds, then using the calculator gives me a 100% accurate answer in 12sec instead of a five-times-slightly-inaccurate answer in 10sec.
I still feel skeptical for some reason, but that’s probably just status quo bias. This seems like a reasonable tradeoff. I’ll try it for a month and see how it goes!