Problem: What speeches should Ray give or cause to happen at Solstice this year?
Epistemic horror at 2020
We traumatized each other a bit. Alas.
We’ve been lonely awhile. Geez.
Meditation on Winter (mostly classic)
Person A is right.
Person A is wrong.
Person B was right? Wrong? Person B just wants a regular solstice, dunno.
Beyond the Reach of God
We did a lot of good things re Covid this year.
We wasted our time this year.
Clock of the Long Now. Big Future.
Redo of Siderea’s Spanish Flu thing.
500 million
Person C’s grandma / Year
Person D’s Year
Montage of imaginary people’s year
The remote first community hypothesis
Friends are people who grew up together.
Sorry to the people who were left adrift
Gratitude for the people who tried
What did the sacrifice mean?
Virtues of rationality for the year
Who are we trying to become?
There are no growups
History of plagues
Epistemic horror at politics
Regular horror at politics
While we were fretting about covid, GPT3 happened.
Get GPT3 to write a speech by Eliezer
What was it like, for Ray in particular (honest version)
What was it like, for Ray in particular (censored version)
The Virtue of Darkness
The Virtue of Fire
What does the virtue of Ash mean to Ray?
The Black Death may have been responsible for industrial progress. Epistemic horror / awkwardness
Inside history, you don’t get to know whether you’re in a downswing or not.
Good things happen slowly. Bad things happen fast
Reason isn’t magic (i.e. we did ‘okay’ this year, but there were limits to how well we could have done)
Meditation on the present (who are we, today, right now?)
Meditation on the past (previous generations of plague)
Governor of Georgia
Decentralization (optimistic spin on “I can’t take care of all of you”)
Remember to have friends
Meditation on the Future—What’s the 25th, 75th and 50th percentile future look like?
Growing up together—Friends are people you grew up with. I wish we were better coordinated this year, but I’m not sure you get to get good at coordination without having something like 2020 happen to you.
Keeping on just doing what needed to be done, without getting overly distracted by covid
Our intellectual lineage
Questions worth asking about how we handled this year
Problem: What speeches should Ray give or cause to happen at Solstice this year?
Epistemic horror at 2020
We traumatized each other a bit. Alas.
We’ve been lonely awhile. Geez.
Meditation on Winter (mostly classic)
Person A is right.
Person A is wrong.
Person B was right? Wrong? Person B just wants a regular solstice, dunno.
Beyond the Reach of God
We did a lot of good things re Covid this year.
We wasted our time this year.
Clock of the Long Now. Big Future.
Redo of Siderea’s Spanish Flu thing.
500 million
Person C’s grandma / Year
Person D’s Year
Montage of imaginary people’s year
The remote first community hypothesis
Friends are people who grew up together.
Sorry to the people who were left adrift
Gratitude for the people who tried
What did the sacrifice mean?
Virtues of rationality for the year
Who are we trying to become?
There are no growups
History of plagues
Epistemic horror at politics
Regular horror at politics
While we were fretting about covid, GPT3 happened.
Get GPT3 to write a speech by Eliezer
What was it like, for Ray in particular (honest version)
What was it like, for Ray in particular (censored version)
The Virtue of Darkness
The Virtue of Fire
What does the virtue of Ash mean to Ray?
The Black Death may have been responsible for industrial progress. Epistemic horror / awkwardness
Inside history, you don’t get to know whether you’re in a downswing or not.
Good things happen slowly. Bad things happen fast
Reason isn’t magic (i.e. we did ‘okay’ this year, but there were limits to how well we could have done)
Meditation on the present (who are we, today, right now?)
Meditation on the past (previous generations of plague)
Governor of Georgia
Decentralization (optimistic spin on “I can’t take care of all of you”)
Remember to have friends
Meditation on the Future—What’s the 25th, 75th and 50th percentile future look like?
Growing up together—Friends are people you grew up with. I wish we were better coordinated this year, but I’m not sure you get to get good at coordination without having something like 2020 happen to you.
Keeping on just doing what needed to be done, without getting overly distracted by covid
Our intellectual lineage
Questions worth asking about how we handled this year
Narrative Gravity
Getting curious