Looking closer, I’m not sure this data makes sense. 0.02 * 9 is… 0.18. Not a whole number.
Basically, that’s you saying exactly what is making me say “the coincidence is implausible”. A sample of 9 will generally not contain an instance of something that comes up 2% of the time. Even more seldom will it contain that and an instance of something that comes up 3% of the time.
So, in spite of appearances, it seems as if our respective intuitions agree on something. Which makes me even more curious as to which of us is having a clack and where.
No, my point there was that in a discrete sample of 9 items, 2% simply isn’t possible. You jump from 1⁄9 (11%) straight to 0⁄9 (0%). But you then explained this impossibility as being the percentage of the total budget of all sampled projects that could be classified that way, which doesn’t make the percentage mean much to me.
Basically, that’s you saying exactly what is making me say “the coincidence is implausible”. A sample of 9 will generally not contain an instance of something that comes up 2% of the time. Even more seldom will it contain that and an instance of something that comes up 3% of the time.
So, in spite of appearances, it seems as if our respective intuitions agree on something. Which makes me even more curious as to which of us is having a clack and where.
No, my point there was that in a discrete sample of 9 items, 2% simply isn’t possible. You jump from 1⁄9 (11%) straight to 0⁄9 (0%). But you then explained this impossibility as being the percentage of the total budget of all sampled projects that could be classified that way, which doesn’t make the percentage mean much to me.