I started partecipating, but got turned off by the ridicolously detailed questions outside my area of expertise. Do I think a sack of rice will fall over when the Ethiopian delegation visits Ecuador in March? How sure am I about my prediction?
It doesn’t seem to help me to achieve better calibration. I’m curious if people that are partecipating are getting value out of it, and what kind of value.
I started partecipating, but got turned off by the ridicolously detailed questions outside my area of expertise. Do I think a sack of rice will fall over when the Ethiopian delegation visits Ecuador in March? How sure am I about my prediction? It doesn’t seem to help me to achieve better calibration. I’m curious if people that are partecipating are getting value out of it, and what kind of value.
I also stopped participating (partway through season 1) because the questions weren’t the sort of thing I was interested in.
Same story for me this season. Check out SciCast, I have much higher hopes.