The exponential is because updates happen on a logarithmic scale. Do you have a simple variant of the problem in mind where we don’t get exponentials? When I try to construct one, I have to start from “we don’t get exponentials” and calculate how the probabilities of different hypotheses would have to converge over time.
The exponential is because updates happen on a logarithmic scale. Do you have a simple variant of the problem in mind where we don’t get exponentials? When I try to construct one, I have to start from “we don’t get exponentials” and calculate how the probabilities of different hypotheses would have to converge over time.