It is often the case that you are confident in the sign of an outcome but not the magnitude of the outcome.
This heuristic is what happens if you are simultaneously very confident in the sign of positive results, and have very little confidence in the magnitude of negative results.
It is often the case that you are confident in the sign of an outcome but not the magnitude of the outcome.
This heuristic is what happens if you are simultaneously very confident in the sign of positive results, and have very little confidence in the magnitude of negative results.