Is it really a matter of sign-flipping, or is it just that the same status level can seem low or high depending on what you’re comparing with? If a Blackberry signifies (or signified) middle-to-senior-manager status, then it’s a high-status signal for a minion and a low-status signal for the big-company CEO. If inviting six hookers up to your room in Las Vegas signifies not-very-classy-high-roller status, then again it’s a high-status or low-status signal depending on the starting point. Nothing needs to flip; it’s the same status in either case; but the reference point (set by other characteristics of the person or situation) can be lower or higher.
If a Blackberry signifies (or signified) middle-to-senior-manager status, then it’s a high-status signal for a minion and a low-status signal for the big-company CEO.
Flip the sign :-) What status does the lack of a Blackberry signify?
It signifies a set of possible statuses; more precisely, either the presence or the absence of a Blackberry actually signifies something more like a probability distribution over statuses. (More precisely still, they’re likelihoods rather than probabilities, and needn’t sum to 1.) The absence-of-Blackberry distribution is like a notch filter; learning that someone doesn’t have one makes it (or did, a few years back) much less likely that someone occupies the middle-to-senior-manager niche.
This (I take it this is your point) can produce more counterintuitive updates than a more “unimodal” signal like the presence of a Blackberry. Learning that someone has no Blackberry will tend to make your assessment of their ( corporate) status more “extreme”. You can call that a sign flip if you like; I’m not convinced that’s a helpful way to look at it.
Is it really a matter of sign-flipping, or is it just that the same status level can seem low or high depending on what you’re comparing with? If a Blackberry signifies (or signified) middle-to-senior-manager status, then it’s a high-status signal for a minion and a low-status signal for the big-company CEO. If inviting six hookers up to your room in Las Vegas signifies not-very-classy-high-roller status, then again it’s a high-status or low-status signal depending on the starting point. Nothing needs to flip; it’s the same status in either case; but the reference point (set by other characteristics of the person or situation) can be lower or higher.
Flip the sign :-) What status does the lack of a Blackberry signify?
It signifies a set of possible statuses; more precisely, either the presence or the absence of a Blackberry actually signifies something more like a probability distribution over statuses. (More precisely still, they’re likelihoods rather than probabilities, and needn’t sum to 1.) The absence-of-Blackberry distribution is like a notch filter; learning that someone doesn’t have one makes it (or did, a few years back) much less likely that someone occupies the middle-to-senior-manager niche.
This (I take it this is your point) can produce more counterintuitive updates than a more “unimodal” signal like the presence of a Blackberry. Learning that someone has no Blackberry will tend to make your assessment of their ( corporate) status more “extreme”. You can call that a sign flip if you like; I’m not convinced that’s a helpful way to look at it.