I’d always thought “What bets do I take” was the justification for Bayesian epistemology. Every policy decision (every decision of any kind) is a statement of the form “I’m prepared to accept these costs to receive these outcomes given these events”, this is a bet. If Bayesian epistemology lets you win bets then that’s all the justification it could ever need.
The above discussion about “what bets do I take?” is about literal, monetary wager-making. The sense in which any decision can be described in a way that is equivalent to such a wager is precisely the question being discussed here.
I’d always thought “What bets do I take” was the justification for Bayesian epistemology. Every policy decision (every decision of any kind) is a statement of the form “I’m prepared to accept these costs to receive these outcomes given these events”, this is a bet. If Bayesian epistemology lets you win bets then that’s all the justification it could ever need.
The above discussion about “what bets do I take?” is about literal, monetary wager-making. The sense in which any decision can be described in a way that is equivalent to such a wager is precisely the question being discussed here.