Iran is powerful, but Israel is tiny country that can be easily defeated in other ways.
Nukes are a flex. They cannot be used. If they do use them they might kill more people than just the ones they don’t like. Biological weapons are taboo also, but are lot easier to use and can be used to the same effect without much trouble.
So you might ask if Iran is really “saying destroy Israel” do they mean” it “and acting on it or are they just working on having more power?
I don’t think Iran can use nukes. Nor will they, nor will they have the ability to deploy them effectively.
I think Nukes are only political weapon. Minus Japan they have always been used as political weapon primarily.
And as long as Nukes work as political weapon they have greater leverage value for leaders than any other weapon.
The narratives about Iran and Israel are of use too. They too are political weapon.
Thus Israel talking about nuclear weapons it self is a form of weapon.
Its not clear whether Iran ever develops or even aims to develop nukes. Its merely “accepted as true” regardless of what we know, and we know very little.
Even in case of Japan one could argue the demonstration of power here was more political weapon than military victory. (But that is highly controversial), what is never controversial is that use of nuclear bombs had more than military implications. Which obviously resulted in arms race and cold war. Whether that was good or even intent I cannot say.
AI is not Iran though. Its not human, and while I assume its aimed to be human, its real mission is to combine both human and inhuman qualities. Therefore we might find that whatever happens in future is going to be “unknown”.
And also the old famous “unknown, unknown”. Merely meaning that for example AI might never need to use strategies like game theory at all.
So the bottom line is its misguided to assume qualities about AI or its research, but being fearful is not wrong.
Iran is powerful, but Israel is tiny country that can be easily defeated in other ways.
Nukes are a flex. They cannot be used. If they do use them they might kill more people than just the ones they don’t like. Biological weapons are taboo also, but are lot easier to use and can be used to the same effect without much trouble.
So you might ask if Iran is really “saying destroy Israel” do they mean” it “and acting on it or are they just working on having more power?
I don’t think Iran can use nukes. Nor will they, nor will they have the ability to deploy them effectively.
I think Nukes are only political weapon. Minus Japan they have always been used as political weapon primarily.
And as long as Nukes work as political weapon they have greater leverage value for leaders than any other weapon.
The narratives about Iran and Israel are of use too. They too are political weapon.
Thus Israel talking about nuclear weapons it self is a form of weapon.
Its not clear whether Iran ever develops or even aims to develop nukes. Its merely “accepted as true” regardless of what we know, and we know very little.
Even in case of Japan one could argue the demonstration of power here was more political weapon than military victory. (But that is highly controversial), what is never controversial is that use of nuclear bombs had more than military implications. Which obviously resulted in arms race and cold war. Whether that was good or even intent I cannot say.
AI is not Iran though. Its not human, and while I assume its aimed to be human, its real mission is to combine both human and inhuman qualities.
Therefore we might find that whatever happens in future is going to be “unknown”.
And also the old famous “unknown, unknown”. Merely meaning that for example AI might never need to use strategies like game theory at all.
So the bottom line is its misguided to assume qualities about AI or its research, but being fearful is not wrong.
Its just to fear this is pointless.