It’s worth it to poke the dragon with a stick if you have only a 28% chance of making it destroy the world while the person who’s planning to poke it tomorrow has a 30% chance. If we can prevent those people in a different way then great, but I’m not convinced that we can.
It doesn’t help at all in the case where the research you’re doing makes it significantly more likely that they will be equipped with stronger sticks and have greater confidence in poking the dragon tomorrow.
It’s worth it to poke the dragon with a stick if you have only a 28% chance of making it destroy the world while the person who’s planning to poke it tomorrow has a 30% chance. If we can prevent those people in a different way then great, but I’m not convinced that we can.
It doesn’t help at all in the case where the research you’re doing makes it significantly more likely that they will be equipped with stronger sticks and have greater confidence in poking the dragon tomorrow.