I have thought this exact thing for something like 2 years. I do think there are some potential backfire risks which make this an uncertain strategy.
slowing AI progress in the US and Europe, which is where OpenAI, DeepMind, Meta, etc. are located, does not neccesarily mean that AI progress in China slows as well. To the degree that you think US AI research will be more aligned than China’s, this differential slowing of AI progress could be net negative.
slowing AI progress in legible companies and labs may push AI research into more illegible places, which may be less careful on net.
Raising the salience of AI, which this campaign would require could accelerate AI progress more by making more governments pay attention to it and fund it more, out of paranoia.
All that said, I think far too little serious thinking/planning has gone into this kind of idea, and it should be more seriously considered. I would be happy to discuss this further if you’d like to chat. Send me a DM when you get a chance.
I have thought this exact thing for something like 2 years. I do think there are some potential backfire risks which make this an uncertain strategy.
slowing AI progress in the US and Europe, which is where OpenAI, DeepMind, Meta, etc. are located, does not neccesarily mean that AI progress in China slows as well. To the degree that you think US AI research will be more aligned than China’s, this differential slowing of AI progress could be net negative.
slowing AI progress in legible companies and labs may push AI research into more illegible places, which may be less careful on net.
Raising the salience of AI, which this campaign would require could accelerate AI progress more by making more governments pay attention to it and fund it more, out of paranoia.
All that said, I think far too little serious thinking/planning has gone into this kind of idea, and it should be more seriously considered. I would be happy to discuss this further if you’d like to chat. Send me a DM when you get a chance.