Excellent point that unipolar scenarios have been bad historically. I wrote about recognizing the validity of that concern recently in Fear of centralized power vs. fear of misaligned AGI: Vitalik Buterin on 80,000 Hours.
And good point that warnings of future catastrophe are likely to go unheeded because wolf has been cried in the past.
Although sometimes those things didn’t happen precisely because the warnings were heeded.
In this case, we only need one or a few relatively informed actors to heed the call to prevent proliferation even if it’s short-term risky.
Excellent point that unipolar scenarios have been bad historically. I wrote about recognizing the validity of that concern recently in Fear of centralized power vs. fear of misaligned AGI: Vitalik Buterin on 80,000 Hours.
And good point that warnings of future catastrophe are likely to go unheeded because wolf has been cried in the past.
Although sometimes those things didn’t happen precisely because the warnings were heeded.
In this case, we only need one or a few relatively informed actors to heed the call to prevent proliferation even if it’s short-term risky.