Regarding Prediction 29, scoring as “true” something developed soon after the specified date contradicts your prior plan to only count successes BEFORE the predicted date. When predictions are only 10 years out for something widely agreed to be inevitable, good timing is the only impressive part of a prediction. If that is allowed to slip it undercuts the whole exercise.
I stated that I decided to be somewhat flexible on the timeline, specifically because it felt like a lot was being shoehorned into the “ten years from 1999” format.
That’s a good idea—will do that when I get back.
I stated that I decided to be somewhat flexible on the timeline, specifically because it felt like a lot was being shoehorned into the “ten years from 1999” format.
Edited my comment to reflect this.