I scored Kurzweil 4⁄10, before reading Stuart’s analysis, and thought I was being generous. 7, 8, 20, 44, 48, and 53 are all false, and the others are questionable. Satt’s analysis is right on. Every paragraph paints a picture of the future that turned out to be overly optimistic.
When Kurzweil is right, he is barely right. Schools pay lip-service to the importance of computers now, but computer education is still lacking. Wireless devices are more common, but my desk is still a tangled mess.
Also notice how he gets the little details wrong. Now that we have touchscreen computers, we interface using our fingers, not styluses. Once cars finally drive themselves, it will be due to smart cars, not smart roads. Why would he even include these details?
I scored Kurzweil 4⁄10, before reading Stuart’s analysis, and thought I was being generous. 7, 8, 20, 44, 48, and 53 are all false, and the others are questionable. Satt’s analysis is right on. Every paragraph paints a picture of the future that turned out to be overly optimistic.
When Kurzweil is right, he is barely right. Schools pay lip-service to the importance of computers now, but computer education is still lacking. Wireless devices are more common, but my desk is still a tangled mess.
Also notice how he gets the little details wrong. Now that we have touchscreen computers, we interface using our fingers, not styluses. Once cars finally drive themselves, it will be due to smart cars, not smart roads. Why would he even include these details?