Observe that Robert Gates furtively concealed the fact that it was he himself that was making the prediction, which suggests that making such a prediction might have bad consequences for one who made it.
Observe that Robert Gates furtively concealed the fact that it was he himself that was making the prediction
You seem to have misread the article.
Gates didn’t predict the break-up of the Soviet Union. It was a business partner of Stephen Brand who made the prediction in a presentation that Gates saw. According to the article cited by the Wikipedia entry:
At this point, one of the CIA analysts jumped in. The presentation was fine, he said, but there was no way the Soviet Union was going to break up – not in his lifetime, not in his children’s lifetime.
That analyst’s name, said Brand, was Robert M Gates.
Gates was denying that the Soviet Union would break up, not predicting it. Gates “jumped in” on a presentation by someone else. It was that “someone else” who made the prediction.
What evidence supports your claim that Gates ever predicted the break-up of the Soviet Union?
Observe that Robert Gates furtively concealed the fact that it was he himself that was making the prediction, which suggests that making such a prediction might have bad consequences for one who made it.
You seem to have misread the article.
Gates didn’t predict the break-up of the Soviet Union. It was a business partner of Stephen Brand who made the prediction in a presentation that Gates saw. According to the article cited by the Wikipedia entry:
Gates was denying that the Soviet Union would break up, not predicting it. Gates “jumped in” on a presentation by someone else. It was that “someone else” who made the prediction.
What evidence supports your claim that Gates ever predicted the break-up of the Soviet Union?