I guess it is because the attempt is not perceived as mere question (“I don’t know if I can do this, so this is an experiment to find out”), but rather as a positive statement about competence (“I know that I can do it with sufficiently high probability”).
Yes, and I instinctively want to assume self-awareness, too. Not just “I think I can do this” but “I am knowingly asserting my status by claiming that I can do this.”
Using the example of the young author, it would be okay to find out that (1) actually he already published in the past under a pseudonym, following the socially required rituals; or (2) he is actually a previously unknown illegitimate child of Stephen King; or (3) he is a successful entrepreneur who made millions. In that case the author could be forgiven. Also, the literary critics could for some mysterious reason decide that he is a great author, and that would retroactively make his approach “appropriate”.
Yeah, all of those would make it better.
I am not sure what is the expected outcome of doing “inappropriate” things. You would probably do many experiments, and succeed at some, getting extra knowledge and skills. On the other hand, you might accidentally anger an exceptionally furious punisher—in extreme case someone who would kill you, or completely ruin your reputation—so the net result could be negative. Maybe the Eliezers we see are merely the status-oblivious people who won the lottery.
I strongly suspect that it’s positive. For most people who aren’t already successful, it’s pretty difficult to substantially damage their reputation. If Eliezer had published three terrible fanfics before HPMoR, I don’t think that would have changed much of anything. On average, I think the emotion makes you way more afraid than what is rational. And any anger about what other people do is almost guaranteed to be unproductive. Just consider – you write this:
Someone writes a book of fiction. The book sells many copies. Many readers fall in love with the book, and then say this is the best thing they have read in years.
And my instinct is to get upset even though I know it’s a made-up example, and I even got upset about you claiming not to have a problem with it.
But the negative effects go beyond not doing inappropriate things. Say I’m a newcomer to some online community (think of a forum). I want to establish that I’m high status right away – this is not impossible, there are people who are new but are immediately respected. I am extremely conscious of this while I write my first post or participate in my first discussion or whatever. But other people who share this emotion see that, recognize what I’m doing, and their blood boils, and they want to punish me for it. I end up being received much worse than if I hadn’t had this instinct. And it’s nontrivial for me to shut it off. There have been a lot of cases where I’ve looked at something I’ve written some time later and essentially had that reaction (feeling like I would need to punish the person who wrote this if it wasn’t myself). It’s so bad that, ever since I’ve figured this out, this is the number one thing I worry about when I write stuff. If it’s important, I make sure to revisit it a few days later and correct the tone if needed. I’m astonishingly bad at judging whether this will be necessary at the time that I write it. Right now, I’m worrying about how I sound in this comment and whether I should revisit it later.
I even feel like there are cases (not on LW, but on other sites) when the reaction to a post is largely determined by the first couple of responses, namely in cases where the post is status-grabby but also somewhat impressive. If the first few responses signal that the person who wrote it is high status, further status-aware respondents are more likely to accept it themselves, and that perpetuates. If you read a status-grabby post as a status-aware person, the reaction is likely to fall onto either extreme.
But maybe the biggest negative is just that it takes up so much brain power. You’re not working on the right thing if you obsess about status.
Also – if I look at the people who are the most “famous” in the rationalist sphere, as far as I can tell, virtually none of them feel this emotion (with the possible exception of Robin Hanson). It’s less consistent in other areas, but even there, not having it seems to correlate with success. Which I admit is consistent with the hypothesis that it increases variance.
It’s possible that I’m conflating the “status regulation” emotion with other status-related emotions here. I don’t have an intuitive grasp on what instincts people who are blind to the first still have.
Not just “I think I can do this” but “I am knowingly asserting my status by claiming that I can do this.”
Well, this is the problematic part of this all. On one hand, it is true that almost everything we do has some impact on status, whether we are aware of it or not. And if you don’t see it, well, you are blind against something that exists and plays a very important role in human relationships. Bad things will start happening to you for unknown reasons.
On the other hand, if people evaluate everything merely by the optics of status (like, someone says “2+2=4” and the audience hears “hey, I am a high-status mathematician, start worshiping me, losers” and then they start throwing stones), then we are screwed, as a humanity. I mean, imagine that maybe there were hundreds of people who had the potential to cure cancer or invent immortality, but they decided not to, simply because it felt “inappropriate”. In other words, take your personal regrets and multiply them by 7 billions. Fuck!
In reality, it’s likely on a scale, like some people perceive the status aspect more strongly, some more weakly, and some not at all. This could be an important thing to research. Maybe you need to have some “bubbles” of people who don’t care or only care weakly about status, to have innovation happen; and if the same people are more homogenously spread among the population, the same innovation won’t happen, because each of them will be quickly down-regulated. Then, creating and protecting these “bubbles” could be a useful thing. (Am I now reaching above my status again? Who am I to propose a sociological research? I didn’t study sociology, and I don’t even have a PhD in anything.)
Yeah, all of those would make it better.
And to state the obvious, 2 of 3 have no impact on the writing itself.
For most people who aren’t already successful, it’s pretty difficult to substantially damage their reputation.
Yeah, the typical damage would be just slowing them down. Like, if you are in a strategic position in their planned path, you can block them.
I have described the hypothetical young author as too invulnerable. Let’s imagine instead that he published a few short stories online, they became popular, and now he wants to publish a book. If you are a publisher, you can reject him, even if you see that the book is great. (Assume an inbalance of power, where the publishers have many books to choose from, but the authors only have a few publishers to choose from.) If you are on friendly terms with other publishers in your region, you could ask them to do you a professional favor and put him on a blacklist (you could make up a story why). You can ignore him as a bookseller. If multiple people independently feel the same way, the author may find out that too many doors are closed for irrational reasons.
The author may be angry about this treatment. If he is not resilient psychologically, he may give up. But this is still not worse than not having tried at all.
Yes, and I instinctively want to assume self-awareness, too. Not just “I think I can do this” but “I am knowingly asserting my status by claiming that I can do this.”
Yeah, all of those would make it better.
I strongly suspect that it’s positive. For most people who aren’t already successful, it’s pretty difficult to substantially damage their reputation. If Eliezer had published three terrible fanfics before HPMoR, I don’t think that would have changed much of anything. On average, I think the emotion makes you way more afraid than what is rational. And any anger about what other people do is almost guaranteed to be unproductive. Just consider – you write this:
And my instinct is to get upset even though I know it’s a made-up example, and I even got upset about you claiming not to have a problem with it.
But the negative effects go beyond not doing inappropriate things. Say I’m a newcomer to some online community (think of a forum). I want to establish that I’m high status right away – this is not impossible, there are people who are new but are immediately respected. I am extremely conscious of this while I write my first post or participate in my first discussion or whatever. But other people who share this emotion see that, recognize what I’m doing, and their blood boils, and they want to punish me for it. I end up being received much worse than if I hadn’t had this instinct. And it’s nontrivial for me to shut it off. There have been a lot of cases where I’ve looked at something I’ve written some time later and essentially had that reaction (feeling like I would need to punish the person who wrote this if it wasn’t myself). It’s so bad that, ever since I’ve figured this out, this is the number one thing I worry about when I write stuff. If it’s important, I make sure to revisit it a few days later and correct the tone if needed. I’m astonishingly bad at judging whether this will be necessary at the time that I write it. Right now, I’m worrying about how I sound in this comment and whether I should revisit it later.
I even feel like there are cases (not on LW, but on other sites) when the reaction to a post is largely determined by the first couple of responses, namely in cases where the post is status-grabby but also somewhat impressive. If the first few responses signal that the person who wrote it is high status, further status-aware respondents are more likely to accept it themselves, and that perpetuates. If you read a status-grabby post as a status-aware person, the reaction is likely to fall onto either extreme.
But maybe the biggest negative is just that it takes up so much brain power. You’re not working on the right thing if you obsess about status.
Also – if I look at the people who are the most “famous” in the rationalist sphere, as far as I can tell, virtually none of them feel this emotion (with the possible exception of Robin Hanson). It’s less consistent in other areas, but even there, not having it seems to correlate with success. Which I admit is consistent with the hypothesis that it increases variance.
It’s possible that I’m conflating the “status regulation” emotion with other status-related emotions here. I don’t have an intuitive grasp on what instincts people who are blind to the first still have.
Well, this is the problematic part of this all. On one hand, it is true that almost everything we do has some impact on status, whether we are aware of it or not. And if you don’t see it, well, you are blind against something that exists and plays a very important role in human relationships. Bad things will start happening to you for unknown reasons.
On the other hand, if people evaluate everything merely by the optics of status (like, someone says “2+2=4” and the audience hears “hey, I am a high-status mathematician, start worshiping me, losers” and then they start throwing stones), then we are screwed, as a humanity. I mean, imagine that maybe there were hundreds of people who had the potential to cure cancer or invent immortality, but they decided not to, simply because it felt “inappropriate”. In other words, take your personal regrets and multiply them by 7 billions. Fuck!
In reality, it’s likely on a scale, like some people perceive the status aspect more strongly, some more weakly, and some not at all. This could be an important thing to research. Maybe you need to have some “bubbles” of people who don’t care or only care weakly about status, to have innovation happen; and if the same people are more homogenously spread among the population, the same innovation won’t happen, because each of them will be quickly down-regulated. Then, creating and protecting these “bubbles” could be a useful thing. (Am I now reaching above my status again? Who am I to propose a sociological research? I didn’t study sociology, and I don’t even have a PhD in anything.)
And to state the obvious, 2 of 3 have no impact on the writing itself.
Yeah, the typical damage would be just slowing them down. Like, if you are in a strategic position in their planned path, you can block them.
I have described the hypothetical young author as too invulnerable. Let’s imagine instead that he published a few short stories online, they became popular, and now he wants to publish a book. If you are a publisher, you can reject him, even if you see that the book is great. (Assume an inbalance of power, where the publishers have many books to choose from, but the authors only have a few publishers to choose from.) If you are on friendly terms with other publishers in your region, you could ask them to do you a professional favor and put him on a blacklist (you could make up a story why). You can ignore him as a bookseller. If multiple people independently feel the same way, the author may find out that too many doors are closed for irrational reasons.
The author may be angry about this treatment. If he is not resilient psychologically, he may give up. But this is still not worse than not having tried at all.
Fwiw, I did once find awful fanfiction written by what I assume was a much younger Eliezer Yudkowsky than the one that wrote HPMOR. ;)