Yes I follow your argument, though I’m a bit doubtful about a result that produces a large difference between utility function and moral credit.
Re your Supreme Court example (and I agree this is a clearer way of thinking about it), I don’t quite follow the argument. It’s true that if the other justices had voted differently, more of them would have had to vote differently (‘flip’) had you done so, but as it’s a given that you knew how everyone else was going to vote, flipping is ruled out—their votes are set in stone.
And re ‘still each justice’s preference… matters’, I wasn’t clear if this is the same point or a separate point—i.e. a signalling or similar argument that the size of the majority matters, e.g. politically.
Yes I follow your argument, though I’m a bit doubtful about a result that produces a large difference between utility function and moral credit.
Re your Supreme Court example (and I agree this is a clearer way of thinking about it), I don’t quite follow the argument. It’s true that if the other justices had voted differently, more of them would have had to vote differently (‘flip’) had you done so, but as it’s a given that you knew how everyone else was going to vote, flipping is ruled out—their votes are set in stone.
And re ‘still each justice’s preference… matters’, I wasn’t clear if this is the same point or a separate point—i.e. a signalling or similar argument that the size of the majority matters, e.g. politically.
I think this EA forum post explaining Shapley Values encapsulates my current opinion better than my comments above.